I was very struck by this post by ChrisD overnight.
The only way I ever saw Gordon Brown still leading the Labour party through a GE, was if there was a good to certain chance they would win. Even if he was not openly challenged or quietly pushed, I have never bought the into the idea that he would therefore cling on till the bitter end to lead his troops into an absolutely certain defeat in 2010 like Major did back in 97′. Those in the Labour party who think that Brown is a John Major type politician in that respect, are going to be left feeling sorely disappointed and let down.
I seriously could see him walking away and leaving the whole government and his *beloved* Labour party up the creek without a paddle.. There seems to be an almost blind faith within the party that Brown is there until the GE if they decide not to oust him, in much the same as that conviction that he would be a great PM despite being totally untried in a contest to prove it. I am with Danie...
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Who is writing Hillary off now?From: politicalbetting.com
Post Date: 2008-03-04 22:26:46
The delegate totals might be a problem - but the narrative’s changed
On Monday night it was suggested here that it was “being premature” to write Hillary’s political obituary because the numbers coming from the latest polls suggested that there had been a significant shift away from Obama. Late polling changes like that on the eve of an election are usually significant and so it has been with Super Tuesday 2.
As I write the Texas results are not yet all i...
more “Super Tuesday 2″ - live from EliteFrom: politicalbetting.com
Post Date: 2008-03-04 17:28:10
A typically relaxed PtP awaits news from Ohio & Texas
Firstly, very special thanks to Harry for hosting us tonight at Elite - we have now all been in position at our trading desks since about 9pm. The biggest profit so far has been on a greyhound race at Hall Green (thanks to an insider’s tip!) although I’m sure that will change!
We are all tuned to CNN and Fox watching events unfold and this has been an excellent “dry-run” for US Election Night in...
more Election night: Is the trend moving to Hillary?From: politicalbetting.com
Post Date: 2008-03-04 14:15:44
But could the mass of early voting underpin Obama?
With less than two hours to go before the polls closed in the first of the four key primaries tonight the latest Gallup tracking poll suggests that the momentum might be moving back to Hillary.
A big issue though, particularly in Texas, is how the hundreds of thousands of people who took part in the early voting will have gone. Could this be Obama’s secret weapon tonight?
We will see.
All the betting markets are here ...
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